Saturday, August 29, 2009

International organizations of Finance and Trading


International organizations European Common Market GATT = General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade G8 IMF = International Monetary Fund OPEC = Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries Basically trade means exchange of goods, services, or both. Trade is also called commerce. The actual face of trade was barter, which was the direct exchange of goods and services. Today traders generally negotiate through a medium of exchange, like money, which then makes buying separate from selling, or earning. The invention of money has made trade simpler. Trade between two traders is called bilateral trade, while trade between more than two traders is called multilateral trade. Trade exists for many reasons. It can be due to specialization and division of labor. Trade exists between regions because different regions have a comparative advantage in the production of some tradable commodity, or because different regions' size helps getting benefits of mass production. History of Trade: Trade originated in prehistoric times. It was the main facility of prehistoric people, who bartered goods and services from each other when modern money was never even thought of. Peter Watson dates the history of long-distance commerce from circa 150,000 years ago. Trade is believed to have taken place throughout much of recorded human history. Materials used for the creation of jewelry were traded with Egypt since 3000 BC. Long-distance trade routes first appeared in the 3rd millennium BC, by the Sumerians in Mesopotamia when they traded with the Harappan civilization of the Indus Valley. Trading is greatly important to the global economy. From the very beginning of Greek civilization to the fall of the Roman Empire in the 5th century, a financially worthwhile trade brought valuable spice to Europe from the Far East, including China. The fall of the Roman Empire, and the succeeding Dark Ages brought insecurity to Western Europe and a near end of the trade network. However some trade did occur, the Radhanites were a medieval group of Jewish merchants who traded between the Christians in Europe and the Muslims of the Near East. The Sogdians ruled the East-West trade route known as the Silk Road from the end 4th century AD to the 8th century AD. The Vikings and Varangians also traded from the 8th to the 11th century as they sailed from and to Scandinavia. Vikings sailed to Western Europe, while Varangians to Russia. Vasco da Gama restarted the European Spice trade in 1498. Earlier to his sailing around Africa, the flow of spice into Europe was controlled by Islamic powers, especially Egypt. The spice trade was of major economic importance and helped encourage the Age of Exploration. Spices brought to Europe from distant lands were some of the most valuable commodities for their weight, sometimes rivaling gold. In the 16th century, Holland was the centre of free trade, imposing no exchange controls, and advocating the free movement of goods. In 1776, Adam Smith published the paper “An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations”. This paper criticized Mercantilism, and argued that economic specialization could benefit nations just as much as firms. Since that time the division of labor was restricted by the size of the market, he said that countries having access to larger markets would be able to divide labor more efficiently and thereby become more productive. The Great Depression was a major economic collapse that ran from 1929 to the late 1930s. There was a great setback in trade and other economic indicators during this period. The lack of free trade was considered by many as a root cause of the depression. Only during the World War II the recession ended in United States. History of Money: The first instances of money were objects with fundamental value are called commodity money and includes any commonly-available commodity that has intrinsic value; historical examples include rare seashells, whale's teeth, and cattle. In medieval Iraq, bread was used as an early form of money. Roman denarius Currency was introduced as a standardized money to facilitate a wider exchange of goods and services. This first stage of currency metals were used to represent stored value. As the system of commodity money evolved in many instances it then became representative money. Current Trends: Doha round The Doha round of World Trade Organization negotiations aims to lower barriers to trade around the world, focusing on making trade fairer for developing countries. Talks have been hung over a divide between the rich, developed countries, and the major developing countries. Agricultural subsidies are the most significant issue upon which agreement has been hardest to negotiate. By contrast, there was much agreement on trade facilitation and capacity building. The Doha round began in Doha, Qatar, and negotiations has subsequently continued in: Cancun, Mexico; Geneva, Switzerland; and Paris, France and Hong Kong.

10 Forex Trading Essentials


These 10 Forex trading essentials are a high-level peek at the pitfalls that catch many traders. Compare your trading style with these simple fixes and if you are not employing some or all of them, you are placing yourself at a higher risk level. 1) Increase your time perspective - If you are not a well seasoned Forex trader, you shouldn't even look at a price chart of less than 60 minutes. The randomness of the normal transactions which occur in Forex will distort your judgment of the true picture. Use longer time frames, such as 60 minute, 4 hour and daily charts when planning your trades. 2) Reduce your position size to 5% Maximum - Having more than 3 to 5 percent of your trading capital on the table is a major no no. High leverage makes it very easy to get in away over your head. This combination snares many traders and can rapidly destroy your account. You need to have the ability to ride the volatility waves common in Forex. 3) Give your trade time to work - You can only use this option effectively if your position is sized safely... as per 2) above. Prices will fluctuate dramatically in Forex, and you need to be sure that a loss really is a loss before you close a trade that is moving against your plan. A 30 pip stop loss will often kick you out of a trade, just as it's about to turn in your direction. You need to allow for larger price swings... if you have determined the major price trend, be patient and let the odds work in your favor. 4) Reduce your dependence on technical indicators - Due to the fact that technical indicators get their data from past events, the reality is they have no ability to predict the future. Pro's that enjoy success using these indicators, often profit from the knowledge of how the masses are likely to react to this data, rather than the information itself. You need to determine the major trend (a simple moving average will show you this) and hop aboard. Use a longer time frame, as in 1). The largest players in Forex rely about 25% on technical indicators when making their trading decisions. 5) Trade only one or two currency pairs - And stick to the majors... not the crosses. Currency prices are driven primarily by fundamental data. In order to anticipate what is likely coming down the road, you need to follow some basic data for each of the countries involved. Trading too many currencies will make it difficult to keep up to date. There is equal opportunity to profit from each of the pairs, so wait until your experience level has matured and the information tends to sink in without as much effort on your part before you start to trade more currencies. 6) Average in and out of your trades - If your trading account is less than $50,000 have your broker enable mini-lots for your account. This will allow you to average in and out of your trades... a great way to add more flexibility to your account. If this applies to you and your broker doesn't offer mini lots, find a new broker... this is an important need to do. 7) Follow the data for your currency pair(s) - Know what data is pending for release. Volatility often increases dramatically when these releases occur. The safe strategy is to exit your positions prior to major releases... this is the way many of the larger accounts handle these situations. Data releases can often cause a change to the trend. Take them seriously. 8) Determine the trend and get aboard - As with any type of trading, the safest bet is to determine which way prices are trending, and then trade in that direction. You don't need anything fancy... a simple moving average on your candlestick chart is sufficient. Zoom your chart out to be sure you have the big picture. Compare where the price is now, relative to where is has been for a significant amount of time (at least a month). Use caution if the current price is near upper or lower extremes, as there may be a trend change once that extreme is reached. 9) Know when to take a profit - A winning position can quickly turn into a loser if you set your sights too high. Don't be afraid to take your profit - or a part of your profit at 20 or 30 pips. The price waves in Forex make it ideally suited to averaging into and out of positions by using multiple entry and exit points for each position. This is exactly where your mini lots can help! The benefit of spreading out your position is that your overall risk is reduced. 10) Stop listening to "Gurus" - Don't fall into the trap of believing everything, or even most things, you hear. The trading world is overflowing with gurus only too willing to offer their opinion on the future. It will only be an opinion, nothing more. They may seem to have convincing data, but trust your own brain. You need to weigh the economic data from your countries... that is what drives currency prices. The enormous size and nature of Forex ensure there is no insider information. You have access to the same data as everyone else in the game. In time, your own instinct will guide you to your goals, and that is what you need to trust.

Forex Trading, What Hours Should I Be Ready For Trading?


Once you have decided to enter the Forex trading world you will find that FX trading has many advantages over other capital markets. Including among others; very low margins, free trading platforms, high leverage and around-the-clock trading. It is my main concern in this article to let you know what hours you should be ready and focus for start trading, so you can expect the highest profits in your trades, and not just consider that around-the-clock trading means you should randomly trade through out the day. In short, it is important to know what the best hours to trade are because if you want to find an appreciable number of profitable trades you need to enter the forex market at the best period of time, i.e., when the activity, the volume of transactions, is the highest. At any given time; somebody, somewhere in the world is buying and selling currencies. As one market closes, another market opens. Business hours overlap, and the exchange continues as day becomes night and night becomes day. Giving you 5.5 entire potential trading days. Forex Trading begins in New Zealand at Sunday 5pm EST, and then is followed by Australia, Asia, the Middle East, Europe, and America in this order and through out the day and through out the week until Friday 4pm EST when the American market closes. Other important facts every Forex trader should know are: the US & UK markets account for more than 50% of the forex market transactions; Forex major markets are: London, New York and Tokyo. Nearly two-thirds of NY activity occurs in the morning hours while European markets are open. And maybe one of the most important characteristics; Forex Trading activity is heaviest when major markets overlap. So, the answer to the question; “What hours should I be trading?” is dictated by this last characteristic, you should trade when the major markets overlap. Now, when do they overlap?. Considering the different time zones of the world and open and close times for Australian, New Zealand, Japan, America and Europe markets. We can arrive to the conclusion that there are two major time gaps when two of the major markets overlap during trading hours. These hours are between 2 am and 4 am EST (Asian/European) and between 8 am to 12 pm EST(European/N. American). So if you want to catch the best trading opportunities of the day and you are in the American continent you must be ready to wake up early or go to sleep late some times. Of course things change around the world. What's the best region where to trade from if you can't wake up early?… Maybe the Ukraine.

A Good Forex Trading System And Its Main Characteristics.


Forex trading is one of the great money making opportunities available these days. People from many walks of life, men and women, decide to join the forex trading world everyday looking for the great style of life a profitable forex trader can achieve. But once you enter the world of Forex trading the first thing you will realize is that it's not easy to become a profitable trader. The more you learn about the currency markets the more you realize the urgent need of a good forex trading system in order to make money and not just spend your time entering trades as a hobby taking you nowhere. There are many companies and individuals out there offering you forex trading systems that promise to be the real thing and that will teach you how to earn tons of money easily. But you must be aware that not all of them are always sincere and you should be ready to look for some specific characteristics good forex trading systems must have. For example; they must be willing to let you know part or the basics of their trading system for free, so you can evaluate their claims and be sure of what you will be buying from them. Also, they should offer you a money back guarantee in case the complete system doesn't stand to their initial claims. A very good sign of the “goodness” and utility of the system would be if the company offering you their services offers to follow up with you about any doubts and questions arising from the use of their trading system. This follow up can include a users forum, contact phone number, email direct contact, etc. Also the forex trading system you are acquiring should be recession-proof and go beyond the traditional linear models that are based mostly on past results, it is difficult to make decisions about the future moves of the currency markets based just on past performance. Ideally, the currency trading system you get should allow you to go with the market direction, either up or down, instead of hoping and believing it will go one way or another, and then find out it was all wrong. And, of course. The system should be given to you with software that performs the complex math behind it, making it simple for you to use at any time and without strange formulas. Look for these main characteristics in the forex trading system you are planning to buy, and if it full fills them; then you are quite certainly making a good decision by planning about using it in your trading career.

Are You Trading to Your Strengths?

In your trading, are you playing to your strengths, or are you simply being an "opportunity seeker"? There is a huge difference between the two and if you're just an opportunity seeker, then you are leaving yourself open to frustration and losses. There are many parallels between trading, business and gambling, and your ultimate success long-term will be determined by how you approach any of the three. Playing to your strengths is critical in all three. In any of the pursuits, there is competition and you always want to make sure that you're playing to your strengths and not your weaknesses. The objective is winning, that is profiting, and you want every advantage that you can get. Too often, the opportunity seeker will go after an opportunity just because they see that there's money to be made, and they figure that they can shore up their weaknesses (learn more) enough to go get that money. Let's take a brief look at how this applies in each area, keeping in mind the parallels between them. In business, the long term successes are built by those with an end goal in mind, a vision of what the business will look like when it's mature. This is critical because the company must stay on a course that is consistent with its vision while it is growing. Distractions and deviations from the path only serve to slow it down or even take it backwards. Successful business leaders know when to pursue an opportunity and when to say "no". Saying "no" is essential to keeping the company's activities (investments of time) focused where competitive advantages exist and avoiding those where the company is at a disadvantage. In gambling, the poker player will stay at the BlackJack table and make his money there. He won't jump up and run to the Roulette table just because he heard somebody just won $50,000 over there. He knows what he's good at and will only venture over to other tables for entertainment, not to make money. In Trading, let's say investing for the sake of argument, a good real estate investor that knows how to make $1 million a year isn't necessarily going to do well in trading. They are completely different games. Just because a person knows how to buy properties right, increase their value through rehab or raising rents, does not mean that they will have the talents or skills to make money in the Futures or Forex markets. Even an experienced trader should be hesitant to jump from one game to the next. A buy-and-hold position trader should exercise great caution before jumping into day-trading, and a spread better should hone his skills before thinking about buying (or selling) outright futures contracts. Each strategy (or game let's say) has different skills associated with it, and different emotional requirements. The other serious consideration is your proficiency level - period. This combined with your ability to devote time to trading. If you are completely new to trading or you haven't yet become proficient at the necessary skills to trade, then you definitely should seek out help. The learning curve can be very costly in trading, and if you don't have the time or a plan to become proficient, how do you ever expect to make regular profits from it? If you don't have the proficiency, the strengths, needed to be a good trader, nor do you have the time and resources to become one, you may want to consider other choices available to you. If you have neither the skills nor the time to develop them, but want to take advantage of the nice money to be made in trading, you may want to consider a managed account. Why settle for an amateur trading with your money (YOU), when you can have a pro do it for you? Do your Due Diligence first though!!! Ask for the track record and the plan going forward. Your next option if you're "starting from scratch" is to trade with the assistance of a seasoned broker. That's what they are there for. Of course you can find very low commission brokers to deal with, but you may get just what you pay for. A good broker can be found for $50-$100 round turn commission, and they'll give you the best advice they can. In the long run, you're likely to be way better off - if you'll follow their advice! Again, ask for their track record, and check with the NFA to see if they have any complaints. It wouldn't hurt to see if the broker you're considering is recognized within the trading community as being good. Many very good brokers publish regular articles or advisory columns on respected websites and in established periodicals. Generally, if you see that the person has been published for a period of years, then that is a good sign. The wackos and charlatans bounce around too much and aren't allowed to stay in one place for long before their reputation catches up with them. Until you have the strengths yourself, borrow them from someone who has them while you're developing. When you have the proficiency, the skills, and the resources, only then should you venture out on your own. And that is only if you are so inclined to actually becoming a trader and doing it all yourself. If your true objective is to make money, then play it smart. Make use of other people's knowledge and skills until you have developed your own. Of course, if you really don't want to devote the time to being a full-time or highly active trader, but still want trading to be part of your income portfolio, consider your other choices. Whatever you do, don't simply chase another "opportunity" to make money if it doesn't play to your strengths. For Trading, those strengths need to be discipline, emotional control, coach-ability, ability to focus, follow-through, decisiveness, understanding of probabilities, dealing with uncertainty, and a slew of others. There are activities for entertainment and others for making money. Trading can be both, but if it is not taken seriously, with a sincere review of your own characteristics and desires, then it can wind up being neither. In any endeavor where money is the end result, get help from a trusted friend. Rememer, a good mentor is there to show you the right steps to take and those to avoid.

Investing - How To Profit Using Formulas


A classic Wall Street yarn, concerning a young man who was in the early stages of learning to be a professional speculator goes something like this. The young man had a problem, so he went to an elderly gentleman noted for his shrewd investment judgment, for advice. The young man had taken on quite an extensive line of stocks, but the market looked a bit over-valued and so he was thinking that his positions carried too many risks. He wondered if he shouldn't perhaps sell. He was so worried about it that he was having trouble sleeping. The old man's advice was simple and direct: "Sell" he said. "Sell back to the sleeping point." Although there is no doubt that this advice smacks of ambiguity, there is a simple wisdom in it. We may safely assume that neither the young man nor his elder adviser knew which way the market was going, but both were aware that the market was sufficiently shaky to cause legitimate worry. Translated into somewhat more orthodox investment terms, the advice meant - Sell enough of your stocks so that a market collapse won't destroy you, but keep enough so that if your fears turn out to be groundless, and the market rises, you'll still profit to some extent - in the meantime, get some sleep. At first glance, it may seem a bit cynical on the old man's part not to outline for his young disciple an exact and detailed course of action. But he couldn't be honest and at the same time guarantee that he knew exactly what action might turn out to be best. Furthermore, the young man didn't want someone to tell him precisely what to do. All he wanted was some help in easing the pressure and the help he received was clearly sensible. How to Find the Sleeping Point In a real sense, investment formulas are designed to help you in the same way that the old man's advice helped his young friend - they inject an element of caution in your investing when caution seems advisable, they reduce the provision for caution when risks seem relatively low and permit you to benefit when prices rise. In addition, once you incorporate a formula into your investment program, it works more or less automatically, allowing you to sleep nights in the full knowledge that you are continuously hedged against various unforeseen possibilities. But just as the investment sage left it up to the young man to decide exactly what his "sleeping point" might be, you can select a formula appropriate to your own temperament, financial circumstances and proclivity to insomnia. Any formula can be adjusted to suit the needs and preferences of any investor. Although formulas are designed to give un-hedged, unambiguous and unbiased indications for action, the investor should not feel that he is surrendering all personal control over his investments when he adopts a formula. The reason behind this logic is clear. It's because each investor selects the formula that will fit his own individual comfort level. A formula doesn't try to tell you what to do - it merely helps you do what you are already doing more profitably. For example, formulas cannot tell you which stocks to buy or currency to trade. The whole premise of using formulas is based on the fact that those using them are normally quite sophisticated and that they know what kind of investment vehicle they are interested in, how to select them and where to go for advice in their particular area(s) of interest. However, by supplementing their knowledge with considerations of the equally important questions of when to own and in what quantity - formulas can supply a valuable added dimension to their investment results and assist in the management of their portfolio on a more professional level. Along this same line, it is worth mentioning that although the true purpose of a formula is to supply the investor with an investment policy which is definite in its instructions at all times, you need not feel that you must follow the formula precisely in order to profit from it. You cannot, of course, ignore it altogether if you expect to benefit from it, but you can profitably use it as a touchstone or a general guide without swearing eternal allegiance to its dictates. You might, for example, want to use a formula, but also desire to increase or decrease your risks at various times for a variety of reasons. Your use of the formula will show you how far you are departing from your original plan and will give you a well-ordered program to come back to when you are ready.

Forex Trading - A Simple, Easy Tip to Increase Your Profits

Forex trading is all about getting the odds in your favor to reduce rsik and increase reward. The simple tip below is ignored by most traders - yet if you include it in your trading plan, will see your risk decrease and profits increase and that’s what all traders want! Most novice traders don’t use this tip and lose. Learn the significance of this tip and use it and it is simply: Trade with Price Momentum Many traders like to predict where prices are going to go – but they should really be trading on the facts and that’s exactly what looking at shifts in price momentum does. It gives you clues to where prices may go next. Lets Loom at a common error that novice traders make to illustrate the point. Many traders love to buy dips to support and many will use trend lines or moving averages. As prices approach the support level, they buy into the support and hope that it holds. This is a huge mistake! If you rely on “hope” you are going to lose. This is why looking at price momentum is so important. If the momentum of price starts to weaken into support and turns the odds of support holding have increased. Acting on the Facts To watch prices come into support and rather than diving in and taking a position - WAIT for price momentum to weaken into support and turn back up away from support. This is the cue to take a position, as price momentum is now moving away from support and odds favour the bulls. Why dont traders fo this more often? Traders find this hard to do, as they don’t like the fact they missed a bit of the move by waiting, but this is the only way to get the odds on your side. Consider this: Support obviously can either hold or break and you don’t know which will occur in advance it’s impossible to predict – you are simply guessing and that’s a good way to lose. If you look at price momentum you will be acting on confirmation that the odds are in your favour. A trader who is patent and disciplined and acts on confirmation has a far better chance of success than one who guesses or predicts where prices may go. So what are good indicators to look at? The best indicator by far in our opinion is the stochastic indicator – we don’t have enough room to cover it in detail here but it’s a great indicator for graphically showing shifts in price momentum. We like to combine the above indicator with the Relative Strength Index(RSI), another great momentum indicator. We never take a trade unless price momentum points the same way as our trade. Forex trading is an odds game and by using momentum indicators you will increase your chances of success and of course your profit potential.